China’s $60B Out-Licensing Boom in 2025 Positions Biotech as Global Powerhouse in Oncology & Obesity
Chinese biopharmas may reach ~$60B in outbound deals by end-2025, led by Hengrui–GSK, 3SBio–Pfizer, XtalPi–DoveTree, and Hansoh–Regeneron. Oncology, obesity, and AI fuel China’s rise as a global licensing powerhouse, with top deals and trends highlighted.
By August 29, 2025, Chinese biopharmas struck nearly 80 out-licensing deals worth $2.6 billion upfront and $31 billion in potential milestone value—more than Japan, Korea, and India combined. With projections pointing to 150+ deals and $60 billion+ in total value by year-end, China has emerged as the single largest source of novel pipelines outside the U.S.
This reflects a decisive shift: Chinese innovators are no longer just importing technology but exporting globally competitive therapies across oncology, immunology, and metabolic diseases.
Key Trends: Oncology Dominates, Modalities Diversify, AI Accelerates
Oncology remains the anchor, accounting for over half of projected deal value. Within oncology:
- Antibody-drug conjugates (ADCs) led several billion-dollar partnerships (Evopoint–Astellas, DualityBio–Avenzo, Simcere–AbbVie).
- Bispecific antibodies and T cell engagers (TCEs) surged, with Pfizer–3SBio’s $6B PD-1/VEGF deal and multiple BCMA/CD3 programs (KeyMed, Genrix, Harbour BioMed).
- Trispecific antibodies debuted, such as Simcere–AbbVie’s $1B+ trispecific for multiple myeloma.
Metabolic disease deals are expanding, highlighted by Hansoh–Regeneron’s $2B GIP/GLP-1 dual agonist and Madrigal–CSPC’s $2.1B preclinical oral GLP-1, underscoring China’s competitiveness in the global obesity market.
Immune and autoimmune assets (e.g., RemeGen–Vor’s $4.1B Telitacicept, Harbour–Otsuka’s TCE) show China’s maturing immunology pipeline.
AI-driven collaborations are growing: XtalPi–DoveTree’s $6B platform partnership and WuXi–Candid’s $925M trispecific deal illustrate how computational drug discovery is now central to dealmaking.
Geography: U.S. biopharmas dominate (~60% of deal value), but Japan (Santen, Otsuka, Astellas) and Europe (Sanofi, Bayer, Roche) are increasingly active. Despite U.S.–China tensions, American drugmakers signed 14 deals worth $18.3B through June, highlighting China’s indispensable role in global pipeline expansion.
In Q1 2025, China’s share of global biotech licensing value reached 32%, up from 21% in prior years.
Featured Stories: Blockbuster Deals Defining 2025
GSK and Hengrui Pharma Mega-Partnership (July 28)
- GSK licensed Hengrui’s PDE3/4 inhibitor HRS-9821 for up to $12.5B, with $500M upfront, targeting COPD, immunology, and oncology.
Pfizer–3SBio $6B PD-1/VEGF Deal (May 19)
- Pfizer paid $1.25B upfront (+$100M equity) for SSGJ-707 in Phase 2 NSCLC. One of Pfizer’s largest oncology licensing deals in a decade.
Hansoh–Regeneron Metabolic Push (June 2)
- Regeneron licensed Hansoh’s Phase 3 GIP/GLP-1 agonist HS-10535 for $80M upfront, up to $2B milestones.
Madrigal–CSPC Oral GLP-1 Deal (July 30)
- Madrigal secured rights to CSPC’s preclinical oral GLP-1 SYH2086 for $120M upfront, $2.1B potential total, planning combination with Rezdiffra.
RemeGen–Vor Biopharma $4.1B Alliance (June 25)
- Telitacicept, a BAFF/APRIL fusion protein marketed in China, licensed for $125M upfront.
XtalPi–DoveTree AI-Fueled $6B Collaboration (July)
- DoveTree committed $100M upfront to co-develop oncology, autoimmune, and metabolic assets using XtalPi’s AI discovery platform.
2025 Deal Landscape: Comprehensive Overview
Summary Snapshot (Jan–Aug 2025):
- Deals signed: ~80
- Upfront payments: $2.6B
- Total potential value: $31B
- Billion-dollar+ deals: 11
- Modality breakdown: ~35% ADCs, 30% bispecifics/TCEs, 20% metabolic/peptides, 15% others (fusion proteins, degraders, AI platforms)
- Partner geography: ~60% U.S., 20% Europe, 15% Japan, 5% others
2025 Deal Landscape: A Comprehensive Overview
Below is a detailed table of major China-origin out-licensing deals in 2025, sorted from latest to earliest, capturing high-value partnerships that define the year's momentum. The table includes verified details on drug/asset names, financials, mechanisms of action, indications, and development stages, reflecting the diversity and scale of China's global impact.
Chinese Company |
Partner Company |
Drug/Asset |
Date of Deal |
Upfront (millions) |
Total Deal (millions) |
MOA/Target |
Indication |
Development Stage |
Notes |
Fosun Pharma |
Sitala Bio |
FXS6837 |
8/26/25 |
$25M |
$670M |
Undisclosed inflammation blocker |
Immune diseases |
Phase 2 |
Small molecule for immune regulation; $5M Sitala shares at
no cost; ~RMB 120M R&D invested; 2024 market ~$3.8B (IQVIA) [9]. |
RemeGen |
Santen Pharmaceutical |
RC28-E |
8/19/25 |
$35M |
$283M |
Dual-target VEGF/FGF fusion protein |
Ophthalmic diseases |
Phase 3 |
For wet AMD and diabetic retinopathy; strong Phase 2
efficacy [2]. |
Fosun Pharma |
Expedition Therapeutics |
XH-S004 |
8/11/25 |
$17M |
$645M |
DPP-1 inhibitor |
Immune diseases |
Phase 2 |
For non-cystic fibrosis bronchiectasis (Phase 2), COPD
(Phase 1b); first-in-class potential; Fosun retains China rights [10,11]. |
XtalPi |
DoveTree |
Undisclosed (AI discovery) |
7/2025 |
$100M |
$6,000M |
Undisclosed (small molecules/antibodies) |
Cancer, autoimmune, neurological, metabolic |
Discovery/Preclinical |
AI-powered drug discovery platform; no specific candidates
named; milestones and royalties [5]. |
CSPC Pharmaceutical Group |
Madrigal Pharmaceuticals |
SYH2086 |
7/30/25 |
$120M |
$2,120M |
GLP-1 receptor agonist (oral) |
Metabolic diseases |
Preclinical |
For MASH, obesity, T2D; to combine with Rezdiffra; trials
planned for H1 2026; CSPC retains China rights for other GLP-1s [8,12]. |
Hengrui Pharma |
GSK |
HRS-9821 |
7/28/25 |
$500M |
$12,500M |
PDE3/4 inhibitor |
Multiple (respiratory, immunology, oncology) |
Phase 1 |
Potential best-in-class for COPD; largest 2025 deal [2]. |
Keyi Pharmaceutical |
Erigen |
CAR-T targeting BCMA and CD19 |
7/22/25 |
$15M |
$1,335M |
CAR-T cell therapy |
Cancer |
Phase 1 |
For multiple myeloma and lymphomas; dual-target CAR-T [2]. |
Biocytogen Pharmaceuticals |
BeOne Medicines |
Undisclosed |
7/9/25 |
N/A |
N/A |
Undisclosed (fully human antibodies) |
Cancer |
Undisclosed |
Early-stage oncology asset; multiple antibodies for
innovative drugs; limited details [13]. |
ConjugateBio |
Adagene |
Undisclosed (proprietary antibody) |
7/8/25 |
N/A |
N/A |
Antibody for bispecific ADC programs |
Undisclosed |
Preclinical |
For bispecific ADCs; broad application potential; no
specific name disclosed [2]. |
CStone Pharmaceuticals |
Istuto Gentili |
Anti-PD-L1 mAb |
7/8/25 |
N/A |
$193M |
Monoclonal antibody targeting PD-L1 |
Cancer |
Marketed |
Approved for NSCLC, esophageal cancer; established
efficacy [2]. |
Mabwell (Shanghai) Bioscience |
Calico Life Sciences |
Anti-IL-11 mAb |
6/26/25 |
$25M |
$596M |
Monoclonal antibody targeting IL-11 |
Other (aging-related) |
Phase 1 |
For fibrosis and aging-related diseases; novel target [2]. |
Remegen |
Vor Biopharma |
Telitacicept |
6/25/25 |
$125M |
$4,125M |
Fusion protein targeting BAFF and APRIL |
Immune diseases |
Phase 3 |
Approved in China for SLE, RA, gMG; includes $80M warrants
[2]. |
Harbour BioMed |
Otsuka Pharmaceutical |
Bispecific T cell engagers |
6/22/25 |
$47M |
$670M |
Bispecific T cell engagers targeting BCMA and CD3 |
Immune diseases |
Phase 1 |
For multiple myeloma; strong preclinical safety [2]. |
Simcere Zaiming |
NextCure |
Anti-CDH6 ADC |
6/16/25 |
N/A |
$745M |
Antibody-drug conjugate targeting CDH6 |
Cancer |
Phase 1 |
For ovarian and renal cancers; high specificity [2]. |
Genrix Bio |
Cullinan Therapeutics |
Bispecific T cell engager |
6/4/25 |
$20M |
$712M |
Bispecific T cell engager targeting BCMA and CD3 |
Immune diseases |
Phase 1 |
For multiple myeloma; competitive in BCMA space [2]. |
Intragrand Pharma |
Transpire Bio |
PDE4 inhibitor |
6/3/25 |
N/A |
N/A |
PDE4 inhibitor |
Other |
Preclinical |
For inflammatory diseases; early-stage asset [2]. |
Hansoh Pharma |
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals |
HS-10535 |
6/2/25 |
$80M |
$2,010M |
GIP/GLP-1 receptor agonist |
Metabolic diseases |
Phase 3 |
For obesity; $1.93B milestones; strong weight loss data
[2]. |
Evopoint Biosciences |
Astellas Pharma |
XNW27011 |
5/29/25 |
$200M |
$1,540M |
Antibody-drug conjugate targeting CLDN18.2 |
Cancer |
Phase 1 |
For gastric/pancreatic cancers; $130M upfront + $70M
near-term [2]. |
EpimAb Biotherapeutics |
Juri Biosciences |
Bispecific T cell engager |
5/27/25 |
N/A |
$210M |
Bispecific T cell engager targeting KLK2 and CD3 |
Cancer |
Preclinical |
For prostate cancer; novel KLK2 target [2]. |
BioNova Pharmaceuticals |
Servier |
Menin inhibitor |
5/23/25 |
N/A |
N/A |
Menin inhibitor |
Cancer |
Phase 1 |
For AML; promising early efficacy signals [2]. |
3SBio |
Pfizer |
SSGJ-707 |
5/19/25 |
$1,250M |
$6,050M |
Bispecific antibody targeting PD-1 and VEGF |
Cancer |
Phase 2 |
For NSCLC, colorectal, gynecological cancers; $100M equity
investment [2]. |
Sirius Therapeutics |
CRISPR Therapeutics |
siRNA targeting Factor XI |
5/19/25 |
$95M |
$95M |
Small interfering RNA |
Other (coagulation) |
Phase 1 |
For thrombotic disorders; novel RNA approach [2]. |
Qyuns Therapeutics |
Caldera Therapeutics |
Bispecific antibody |
4/23/25 |
$10M |
$555M |
Bispecific antibody |
Immune diseases |
Preclinical |
For autoimmune disorders; early-stage potential [2]. |
Earendil Labs |
Sanofi |
HXN-1002 & HXN-1003 |
4/17/25 |
$175M |
$1,845M |
Bispecific antibodies targeting α4β7/TL1A and TL1A/IL23 |
Immune diseases |
Preclinical |
For IBD; dual-target approach for enhanced efficacy [2]. |
VelaVigo Bio |
Ollin Biosciences |
VBS-102 |
4/17/25 |
N/A |
$440M |
Bispecific antibody |
Undisclosed |
Preclinical |
First-in-class bispecific; VelaVigo retains Greater China
rights; limited details on target [13]. |
Hengrui Pharma |
Merck KGaA |
GnRH receptor antagonist |
4/7/25 |
$15M |
N/A |
GnRH receptor antagonist |
Other (endometriosis) |
Phase 3 |
For hormone-sensitive conditions; established target [2]. |
Puhe BioPharma |
Bayer |
BAY 3713372 (PH020) |
3/26/25 |
N/A |
N/A |
PRMT5 inhibitor |
Cancer |
Phase 1 |
For MTAP-deleted tumors; MTA-cooperative; Bayer has global
rights ex-China [13]. |
Hengrui Pharma |
Merck & Co. |
HRS-5346 |
3/25/25 |
$200M |
$1,970M |
Lipoprotein(a) inhibitor |
Other (cardiovascular) |
Phase 2 |
For heart disease risk; novel cardiovascular target [2]. |
The United Laboratories International Holdings |
Novo Nordisk |
UBT251 |
3/24/25 |
$200M |
$2,000M |
GLP-1/GIP/glucagon receptor agonist |
Metabolic diseases |
Phase 2 |
For obesity and T2D; multi-agonist approach [2]. |
Hangzhou Polymed Biopharmaceuticals |
Photys Therapeutics |
HPB-143 |
2/20/25 |
N/A |
N/A |
Protein degrader targeting IRAK4 |
Immune diseases |
Preclinical |
For inflammation; Phase 1-ready; novel degrader
technology; Photys has ex-Greater China/Southeast Asia rights [13]. |
CSPC Pharmaceutical Group |
Radiance Biopharma |
Anti-ROR1 ADC |
2/19/25 |
$15M |
$1,165M |
Antibody-drug conjugate targeting ROR1 |
Cancer |
Phase 1 |
For solid tumors; high specificity for ROR1 [2]. |
Lepu Biopharma |
ArriVent BioPharma |
Anti-CDH17 ADC |
1/21/25 |
$47M |
$1,207M |
Antibody-drug conjugate targeting CDH17 |
Cancer |
Preclinical |
For GI cancers; novel ADC target [2]. |
KeyMed Biosciences, InnoCare Pharma |
Prolium Bioscience |
Bispecific targeting CD20 and CD3 |
1/20/25 |
N/A |
$520M |
Bispecific antibody targeting CD20 and CD3 |
Multiple |
Phase 1 |
For B-cell malignancies; dual-partner deal [2]. |
Simcere Zaiming |
AbbVie |
Trispecific targeting GPRC5D, BCMA and CD3 |
1/13/25 |
N/A |
$1,055M |
Trispecific antibody |
Cancer |
Phase 1 |
For multiple myeloma; innovative trispecific design [2]. |
Harbour BioMed, Kelun Biotech |
Windward Bio |
Anti-TLSP mAb |
1/10/25 |
$45M |
$1,015M |
Monoclonal antibody targeting TLSP |
Immune diseases |
Phase 1 |
For asthma and inflammation; dual-partner collaboration
[2]. |
Hangzhou HealZen Therapeutics |
Johnson & Johnson |
HZ-Q1070 |
1/10/25 |
N/A |
N/A |
Protein degraders targeting BTK |
Multiple |
Preclinical |
For B-cell disorders; cutting-edge degrader tech; IND
cleared for some indications [13]. |
Sciwind |
Verdiva Bio |
Oral GLP-1 RA; Amylin RAs |
1/10/25 |
$70M |
$2,470M |
Oral GLP-1 receptor agonist; Oral/injectable amylin
agonists |
Metabolic diseases |
Phase 1 |
For obesity; multi-candidate deal with strong market
potential [2]. |
Keymed Biosciences |
Ouro Medicines |
Bispecific T cell engager targeting BCMA and CD3 |
1/10/25 |
N/A |
N/A |
Bispecific T cell engager targeting BCMA and CD3 |
Immune diseases |
Phase 2 |
For multiple myeloma; competitive in BCMA space [2]. |
Keymed Biosciences |
Timberlyne Therapeutics |
Anti-CD38 mAb |
1/9/25 |
N/A |
N/A |
Monoclonal antibody targeting CD38 |
Immune diseases |
Phase 2 |
For multiple myeloma; established target [2]. |
Biocytogen |
Sotio Biotech |
SOT109 |
1/9/25 |
N/A |
N/A |
Antibody for ADC targeting novel tumor antigen |
Cancer |
Preclinical |
For colorectal cancer; novel tumor antigen; early-stage
ADC development [13]. |
Beijing Mabworks Biotech |
Climb Bio |
Anti-APRIL mAb |
1/9/25 |
$9M |
N/A |
Monoclonal antibody targeting APRIL |
Immune diseases |
Preclinical |
For autoimmune disorders; novel target [2]. |
DualityBio |
Avenzo Therapeutics |
Bispecific ADC targeting EGFR and HER3 |
1/7/25 |
$50M |
$1,200M |
Bispecific antibody-drug conjugate targeting EGFR and HER3 |
Cancer |
Preclinical |
For solid tumors; dual-target ADC [2]. |
WuXi Biologics |
Candid Therapeutics |
Trispecific T cell engager |
1/6/25 |
N/A |
$925M |
Trispecific T cell engager |
Immune diseases |
Preclinical |
For autoimmune conditions; innovative trispecific approach
[2]. |
Innovent Biologics |
Roche |
IBI3009 |
1/1/25 |
$80M |
$1,080M |
Antibody-drug conjugate targeting DLL3 |
Cancer |
Phase 1 |
For small cell lung cancer; promising early data [2]. |
Comparison to 2024: Bigger, Bolder, More Frequent
- 2024 out-licensing totaled ~$41.5–46B across 94–213 deals, up from $16.6–38B in 2023.
- Oncology ADCs drove 18 deals worth $33B.
- H1 2025 alone delivered ~$31B potential value from ~80 deals, putting the year on track to exceed 2024 totals by 50%+.
- 11 billion-dollar deals inked in H1 versus all of 2024, with six among the global top 10.
In-Licensing vs. Out-Licensing: The Tables Have Turned
- 2019–2023: China recorded 807 in-licenses vs 401 out-licenses.
- 2024: out-licensing overtook (94 vs 41).
- 2025 H1: ~80 out-licenses vs ~40–50 in-licenses.
- Outgoing deals emphasize early-stage innovation, incoming deals focus on mature platforms (cell/gene therapy), signaling rising self-sufficiency and global export power.
Looking Ahead: Opportunities and Risks
- 2025 positions China as a co-equal in global biopharma.
- By year-end, China-origin deals may exceed $60B, potentially surpassing the 2021 global licensing peak.
- Analysts project 40–50% of big pharma’s next-generation candidates could originate from China pipelines.
- Risks: geopolitical headwinds, U.S. regulatory scrutiny, uneven venture funding ($481M in H1, below past peaks).
- For global pharma, ignoring Chinese innovation increasingly risks falling behind.
Sources
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