China’s $60B Out-Licensing Boom in 2025 Positions Biotech as Global Powerhouse in Oncology & Obesity

Chinese biopharmas may reach ~$60B in outbound deals by end-2025, led by Hengrui–GSK, 3SBio–Pfizer, XtalPi–DoveTree, and Hansoh–Regeneron. Oncology, obesity, and AI fuel China’s rise as a global licensing powerhouse, with top deals and trends highlighted.

By August 29, 2025, Chinese biopharmas struck nearly 80 out-licensing deals worth $2.6 billion upfront and $31 billion in potential milestone value—more than Japan, Korea, and India combined. With projections pointing to 150+ deals and $60 billion+ in total value by year-end, China has emerged as the single largest source of novel pipelines outside the U.S.

This reflects a decisive shift: Chinese innovators are no longer just importing technology but exporting globally competitive therapies across oncology, immunology, and metabolic diseases.


Oncology remains the anchor, accounting for over half of projected deal value. Within oncology:

  • Antibody-drug conjugates (ADCs) led several billion-dollar partnerships (Evopoint–Astellas, DualityBio–Avenzo, Simcere–AbbVie).
  • Bispecific antibodies and T cell engagers (TCEs) surged, with Pfizer–3SBio’s $6B PD-1/VEGF deal and multiple BCMA/CD3 programs (KeyMed, Genrix, Harbour BioMed).
  • Trispecific antibodies debuted, such as Simcere–AbbVie’s $1B+ trispecific for multiple myeloma.

Metabolic disease deals are expanding, highlighted by Hansoh–Regeneron’s $2B GIP/GLP-1 dual agonist and Madrigal–CSPC’s $2.1B preclinical oral GLP-1, underscoring China’s competitiveness in the global obesity market.

Immune and autoimmune assets (e.g., RemeGen–Vor’s $4.1B Telitacicept, Harbour–Otsuka’s TCE) show China’s maturing immunology pipeline.

AI-driven collaborations are growing: XtalPi–DoveTree’s $6B platform partnership and WuXi–Candid’s $925M trispecific deal illustrate how computational drug discovery is now central to dealmaking.

Geography: U.S. biopharmas dominate (~60% of deal value), but Japan (Santen, Otsuka, Astellas) and Europe (Sanofi, Bayer, Roche) are increasingly active. Despite U.S.–China tensions, American drugmakers signed 14 deals worth $18.3B through June, highlighting China’s indispensable role in global pipeline expansion.

In Q1 2025, China’s share of global biotech licensing value reached 32%, up from 21% in prior years.


GSK and Hengrui Pharma Mega-Partnership (July 28)

  • GSK licensed Hengrui’s PDE3/4 inhibitor HRS-9821 for up to $12.5B, with $500M upfront, targeting COPD, immunology, and oncology.

Pfizer–3SBio $6B PD-1/VEGF Deal (May 19)

  • Pfizer paid $1.25B upfront (+$100M equity) for SSGJ-707 in Phase 2 NSCLC. One of Pfizer’s largest oncology licensing deals in a decade.

Hansoh–Regeneron Metabolic Push (June 2)

  • Regeneron licensed Hansoh’s Phase 3 GIP/GLP-1 agonist HS-10535 for $80M upfront, up to $2B milestones.

Madrigal–CSPC Oral GLP-1 Deal (July 30)

  • Madrigal secured rights to CSPC’s preclinical oral GLP-1 SYH2086 for $120M upfront, $2.1B potential total, planning combination with Rezdiffra.

RemeGen–Vor Biopharma $4.1B Alliance (June 25)

  • Telitacicept, a BAFF/APRIL fusion protein marketed in China, licensed for $125M upfront.

XtalPi–DoveTree AI-Fueled $6B Collaboration (July)

  • DoveTree committed $100M upfront to co-develop oncology, autoimmune, and metabolic assets using XtalPi’s AI discovery platform.

2025 Deal Landscape: Comprehensive Overview

Summary Snapshot (Jan–Aug 2025):

  • Deals signed: ~80
  • Upfront payments: $2.6B
  • Total potential value: $31B
  • Billion-dollar+ deals: 11
  • Modality breakdown: ~35% ADCs, 30% bispecifics/TCEs, 20% metabolic/peptides, 15% others (fusion proteins, degraders, AI platforms)
  • Partner geography: ~60% U.S., 20% Europe, 15% Japan, 5% others

2025 Deal Landscape: A Comprehensive Overview

Below is a detailed table of major China-origin out-licensing deals in 2025, sorted from latest to earliest, capturing high-value partnerships that define the year's momentum. The table includes verified details on drug/asset names, financials, mechanisms of action, indications, and development stages, reflecting the diversity and scale of China's global impact.

Chinese Company

Partner Company

Drug/Asset

Date of Deal

Upfront (millions)

Total Deal (millions)

MOA/Target

Indication

Development Stage

Notes

Fosun Pharma

Sitala Bio

FXS6837

8/26/25

$25M

$670M

Undisclosed inflammation blocker

Immune diseases

Phase 2

Small molecule for immune regulation; $5M Sitala shares at no cost; ~RMB 120M R&D invested; 2024 market ~$3.8B (IQVIA) [9].

RemeGen

Santen Pharmaceutical

RC28-E

8/19/25

$35M

$283M

Dual-target VEGF/FGF fusion protein

Ophthalmic diseases

Phase 3

For wet AMD and diabetic retinopathy; strong Phase 2 efficacy [2].

Fosun Pharma

Expedition Therapeutics

XH-S004

8/11/25

$17M

$645M

DPP-1 inhibitor

Immune diseases

Phase 2

For non-cystic fibrosis bronchiectasis (Phase 2), COPD (Phase 1b); first-in-class potential; Fosun retains China rights [10,11].

XtalPi

DoveTree

Undisclosed (AI discovery)

7/2025

$100M

$6,000M

Undisclosed (small molecules/antibodies)

Cancer, autoimmune, neurological, metabolic

Discovery/Preclinical

AI-powered drug discovery platform; no specific candidates named; milestones and royalties [5].

CSPC Pharmaceutical Group

Madrigal Pharmaceuticals

SYH2086

7/30/25

$120M

$2,120M

GLP-1 receptor agonist (oral)

Metabolic diseases

Preclinical

For MASH, obesity, T2D; to combine with Rezdiffra; trials planned for H1 2026; CSPC retains China rights for other GLP-1s [8,12].

Hengrui Pharma

GSK

HRS-9821

7/28/25

$500M

$12,500M

PDE3/4 inhibitor

Multiple (respiratory, immunology, oncology)

Phase 1

Potential best-in-class for COPD; largest 2025 deal [2].

Keyi Pharmaceutical

Erigen

CAR-T targeting BCMA and CD19

7/22/25

$15M

$1,335M

CAR-T cell therapy

Cancer

Phase 1

For multiple myeloma and lymphomas; dual-target CAR-T [2].

Biocytogen Pharmaceuticals

BeOne Medicines

Undisclosed

7/9/25

N/A

N/A

Undisclosed (fully human antibodies)

Cancer

Undisclosed

Early-stage oncology asset; multiple antibodies for innovative drugs; limited details [13].

ConjugateBio

Adagene

Undisclosed (proprietary antibody)

7/8/25

N/A

N/A

Antibody for bispecific ADC programs

Undisclosed

Preclinical

For bispecific ADCs; broad application potential; no specific name disclosed [2].

CStone Pharmaceuticals

Istuto Gentili

Anti-PD-L1 mAb

7/8/25

N/A

$193M

Monoclonal antibody targeting PD-L1

Cancer

Marketed

Approved for NSCLC, esophageal cancer; established efficacy [2].

Mabwell (Shanghai) Bioscience

Calico Life Sciences

Anti-IL-11 mAb

6/26/25

$25M

$596M

Monoclonal antibody targeting IL-11

Other (aging-related)

Phase 1

For fibrosis and aging-related diseases; novel target [2].

Remegen

Vor Biopharma

Telitacicept

6/25/25

$125M

$4,125M

Fusion protein targeting BAFF and APRIL

Immune diseases

Phase 3

Approved in China for SLE, RA, gMG; includes $80M warrants [2].

Harbour BioMed

Otsuka Pharmaceutical

Bispecific T cell engagers

6/22/25

$47M

$670M

Bispecific T cell engagers targeting BCMA and CD3

Immune diseases

Phase 1

For multiple myeloma; strong preclinical safety [2].

Simcere Zaiming

NextCure

Anti-CDH6 ADC

6/16/25

N/A

$745M

Antibody-drug conjugate targeting CDH6

Cancer

Phase 1

For ovarian and renal cancers; high specificity [2].

Genrix Bio

Cullinan Therapeutics

Bispecific T cell engager

6/4/25

$20M

$712M

Bispecific T cell engager targeting BCMA and CD3

Immune diseases

Phase 1

For multiple myeloma; competitive in BCMA space [2].

Intragrand Pharma

Transpire Bio

PDE4 inhibitor

6/3/25

N/A

N/A

PDE4 inhibitor

Other

Preclinical

For inflammatory diseases; early-stage asset [2].

Hansoh Pharma

Regeneron Pharmaceuticals

HS-10535

6/2/25

$80M

$2,010M

GIP/GLP-1 receptor agonist

Metabolic diseases

Phase 3

For obesity; $1.93B milestones; strong weight loss data [2].

Evopoint Biosciences

Astellas Pharma

XNW27011

5/29/25

$200M

$1,540M

Antibody-drug conjugate targeting CLDN18.2

Cancer

Phase 1

For gastric/pancreatic cancers; $130M upfront + $70M near-term [2].

EpimAb Biotherapeutics

Juri Biosciences

Bispecific T cell engager

5/27/25

N/A

$210M

Bispecific T cell engager targeting KLK2 and CD3

Cancer

Preclinical

For prostate cancer; novel KLK2 target [2].

BioNova Pharmaceuticals

Servier

Menin inhibitor

5/23/25

N/A

N/A

Menin inhibitor

Cancer

Phase 1

For AML; promising early efficacy signals [2].

3SBio

Pfizer

SSGJ-707

5/19/25

$1,250M

$6,050M

Bispecific antibody targeting PD-1 and VEGF

Cancer

Phase 2

For NSCLC, colorectal, gynecological cancers; $100M equity investment [2].

Sirius Therapeutics

CRISPR Therapeutics

siRNA targeting Factor XI

5/19/25

$95M

$95M

Small interfering RNA

Other (coagulation)

Phase 1

For thrombotic disorders; novel RNA approach [2].

Qyuns Therapeutics

Caldera Therapeutics

Bispecific antibody

4/23/25

$10M

$555M

Bispecific antibody

Immune diseases

Preclinical

For autoimmune disorders; early-stage potential [2].

Earendil Labs

Sanofi

HXN-1002 & HXN-1003

4/17/25

$175M

$1,845M

Bispecific antibodies targeting α4β7/TL1A and TL1A/IL23

Immune diseases

Preclinical

For IBD; dual-target approach for enhanced efficacy [2].

VelaVigo Bio

Ollin Biosciences

VBS-102

4/17/25

N/A

$440M

Bispecific antibody

Undisclosed

Preclinical

First-in-class bispecific; VelaVigo retains Greater China rights; limited details on target [13].

Hengrui Pharma

Merck KGaA

GnRH receptor antagonist

4/7/25

$15M

N/A

GnRH receptor antagonist

Other (endometriosis)

Phase 3

For hormone-sensitive conditions; established target [2].

Puhe BioPharma

Bayer

BAY 3713372 (PH020)

3/26/25

N/A

N/A

PRMT5 inhibitor

Cancer

Phase 1

For MTAP-deleted tumors; MTA-cooperative; Bayer has global rights ex-China [13].

Hengrui Pharma

Merck & Co.

HRS-5346

3/25/25

$200M

$1,970M

Lipoprotein(a) inhibitor

Other (cardiovascular)

Phase 2

For heart disease risk; novel cardiovascular target [2].

The United Laboratories International Holdings

Novo Nordisk

UBT251

3/24/25

$200M

$2,000M

GLP-1/GIP/glucagon receptor agonist

Metabolic diseases

Phase 2

For obesity and T2D; multi-agonist approach [2].

Hangzhou Polymed Biopharmaceuticals

Photys Therapeutics

HPB-143

2/20/25

N/A

N/A

Protein degrader targeting IRAK4

Immune diseases

Preclinical

For inflammation; Phase 1-ready; novel degrader technology; Photys has ex-Greater China/Southeast Asia rights [13].

CSPC Pharmaceutical Group

Radiance Biopharma

Anti-ROR1 ADC

2/19/25

$15M

$1,165M

Antibody-drug conjugate targeting ROR1

Cancer

Phase 1

For solid tumors; high specificity for ROR1 [2].

Lepu Biopharma

ArriVent BioPharma

Anti-CDH17 ADC

1/21/25

$47M

$1,207M

Antibody-drug conjugate targeting CDH17

Cancer

Preclinical

For GI cancers; novel ADC target [2].

KeyMed Biosciences, InnoCare Pharma

Prolium Bioscience

Bispecific targeting CD20 and CD3

1/20/25

N/A

$520M

Bispecific antibody targeting CD20 and CD3

Multiple

Phase 1

For B-cell malignancies; dual-partner deal [2].

Simcere Zaiming

AbbVie

Trispecific targeting GPRC5D, BCMA and CD3

1/13/25

N/A

$1,055M

Trispecific antibody

Cancer

Phase 1

For multiple myeloma; innovative trispecific design [2].

Harbour BioMed, Kelun Biotech

Windward Bio

Anti-TLSP mAb

1/10/25

$45M

$1,015M

Monoclonal antibody targeting TLSP

Immune diseases

Phase 1

For asthma and inflammation; dual-partner collaboration [2].

Hangzhou HealZen Therapeutics

Johnson & Johnson

HZ-Q1070

1/10/25

N/A

N/A

Protein degraders targeting BTK

Multiple

Preclinical

For B-cell disorders; cutting-edge degrader tech; IND cleared for some indications [13].

Sciwind

Verdiva Bio

Oral GLP-1 RA; Amylin RAs

1/10/25

$70M

$2,470M

Oral GLP-1 receptor agonist; Oral/injectable amylin agonists

Metabolic diseases

Phase 1

For obesity; multi-candidate deal with strong market potential [2].

Keymed Biosciences

Ouro Medicines

Bispecific T cell engager targeting BCMA and CD3

1/10/25

N/A

N/A

Bispecific T cell engager targeting BCMA and CD3

Immune diseases

Phase 2

For multiple myeloma; competitive in BCMA space [2].

Keymed Biosciences

Timberlyne Therapeutics

Anti-CD38 mAb

1/9/25

N/A

N/A

Monoclonal antibody targeting CD38

Immune diseases

Phase 2

For multiple myeloma; established target [2].

Biocytogen

Sotio Biotech

SOT109

1/9/25

N/A

N/A

Antibody for ADC targeting novel tumor antigen

Cancer

Preclinical

For colorectal cancer; novel tumor antigen; early-stage ADC development [13].

Beijing Mabworks Biotech

Climb Bio

Anti-APRIL mAb

1/9/25

$9M

N/A

Monoclonal antibody targeting APRIL

Immune diseases

Preclinical

For autoimmune disorders; novel target [2].

DualityBio

Avenzo Therapeutics

Bispecific ADC targeting EGFR and HER3

1/7/25

$50M

$1,200M

Bispecific antibody-drug conjugate targeting EGFR and HER3

Cancer

Preclinical

For solid tumors; dual-target ADC [2].

WuXi Biologics

Candid Therapeutics

Trispecific T cell engager

1/6/25

N/A

$925M

Trispecific T cell engager

Immune diseases

Preclinical

For autoimmune conditions; innovative trispecific approach [2].

Innovent Biologics

Roche

IBI3009

1/1/25

$80M

$1,080M

Antibody-drug conjugate targeting DLL3

Cancer

Phase 1

For small cell lung cancer; promising early data [2].


Comparison to 2024: Bigger, Bolder, More Frequent

  • 2024 out-licensing totaled ~$41.5–46B across 94–213 deals, up from $16.6–38B in 2023.
  • Oncology ADCs drove 18 deals worth $33B.
  • H1 2025 alone delivered ~$31B potential value from ~80 deals, putting the year on track to exceed 2024 totals by 50%+.
  • 11 billion-dollar deals inked in H1 versus all of 2024, with six among the global top 10.

In-Licensing vs. Out-Licensing: The Tables Have Turned

  • 2019–2023: China recorded 807 in-licenses vs 401 out-licenses.
  • 2024: out-licensing overtook (94 vs 41).
  • 2025 H1: ~80 out-licenses vs ~40–50 in-licenses.
  • Outgoing deals emphasize early-stage innovation, incoming deals focus on mature platforms (cell/gene therapy), signaling rising self-sufficiency and global export power.

Looking Ahead: Opportunities and Risks

  • 2025 positions China as a co-equal in global biopharma.
  • By year-end, China-origin deals may exceed $60B, potentially surpassing the 2021 global licensing peak.
  • Analysts project 40–50% of big pharma’s next-generation candidates could originate from China pipelines.
  • Risks: geopolitical headwinds, U.S. regulatory scrutiny, uneven venture funding ($481M in H1, below past peaks).
  • For global pharma, ignoring Chinese innovation increasingly risks falling behind.

Sources

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